"While almost no one disputes Iran’s nuclear ambitions, there is intense debate over how soon it could get the bomb, and what to do about that. Robert Gallucci, a former government expert on nonproliferation who is now the dean of the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown, told me, “Based on what I know, Iran could be eight to ten years away” from developing a deliverable nuclear weapon. Gallucci added, “If they had a covert nuclear program and we could prove it, and we could not stop it by negotiation, diplomacy, or the threat of sanctions, I’d be in favor of taking it out. But if you do it”—bomb Iran—“without being able to show there’s a secret program, you’re in trouble.”
“This is much more than a nuclear issue,” one high-ranking diplomat told me in Vienna. “That’s just a rallying point, and there is still time to fix it. But the Administration believes it cannot be fixed unless they control the hearts and minds of Iran. The real issue is who is going to control the Middle East and its oil in the next ten years.”
A senior Pentagon adviser on the war on terror expressed a similar view. “This White House believes that the only way to solve the problem is to change the power structure in Iran, and that means war,” he said. The danger, he said, was that “it also reinforces the belief inside Iran that the only way to defend the country is to have a nuclear capability.” A military conflict that destabilized the region could also increase the risk of terror: “Hezbollah comes into play,” the adviser said, referring to the terror group that is considered one of the world’s most successful, and which is now a Lebanese political party with strong ties to Iran. “And here comes Al Qaeda.”
One former defense official, who still deals with sensitive issues for the Bush Administration, told me that the military planning was premised on a belief that “a sustained bombing campaign in Iran will humiliate the religious leadership and lead the public to rise up and overthrow the government.” He added, “I was shocked when I heard it, and asked myself, ‘What are they smoking?’ ”
THE IRAN PLANS
Would President Bush go to war to stop Tehran from getting the bomb?
by SEYMOUR M. HERSH
The New Yorker/Issue of 2006-04-17/Posted 2006-04-08
January 20, 2009
The last day!
The day of liberation!
When George W. Bush is finished!
Let us hope that America is not at war with Iran...Syria...or North Korea!
It is two years and many days to go.
The president who lied.
The president who sent soldiers to die in Iraq based on his indifference to the truth.
Why would George W. Bush drop nukes on Iran?
Because Dick told him it would be the best thing to do?
Or is Bush’s God telling him what to do again?
Is Iran going to get nuked so that a want-to-be dictator (Not Ahmadinejad!) can exit in a glorious ball of fire?
Is it so that a failed president can put his one last hurrah in the history books?
“He wanted to spread freedom and democracy, but he instead produced World War III.”
For Long War President Bush, an infamous legacy is better than no legacy at all.
WE MUST STOP BUSH FROM NUKING IRAN!
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